How many more chances does Cleary need to try and prove he belongs at Origin level?
‘20, ‘22, ‘25, he’s shit the bed in each. He’s a very structured half that struggles to adapt when that structured style isn’t working. NSW literally base their whole game plan around him and Yeo and he still can’t dominate at this level.
He’s very much a rocks and diamonds half outside the Penrith system.
I've just gone and done a quick scour of the series since Cleary debuted in 2018... a quick look at the teams... mostly the spines, because that will give a good idea on the quality available... and mostly the Qld team, because I wanted to check how often Qld actually had a decent team. In general the entire stretch of Cleary's run, NSW has easily had the better squad on paper.
2018 NSW 2-1 Cleary 3 games
NSW Team: One of the years NSW had Turbo and Latrell play all 3 games
Qld Team: Michael Morgan at fullback, Ben Hunt started halfback for games 1 and 2, GI was captain… Macca played all 3 games… I don't think I remember any of this series
2019 NSW 2-1 Cleary played first 2 (1-1).. Pearce won the decider
Qld Team: Morgan in the centres (I think he was ok there??)… Mbye played game 3 at centre (WTF)… DCE all 3 games, Ponga and Munster played 1&2, but no Ponga for decider... Munster to fullback for decider and Corey Norman got a start at 6… Ethan Lowe was goal kicking in Game 3 (I think he went alright though)... looks a pretty dire Qld team to be honest
2020 QLD 2-1 Covid year… Cleary played all 3 games (1-2)
Qld Team: Worst Qld team ever!!! Qld with 3 different fullbacks (Brimson, Val and Corey Allan)… Munster breakout series… DCE captain and all 3 games... Edrick, Brenko, memes, etc.
2021 NSW 2-1 Cleary played first 2 which they won (76-6)
This is the Turbo and Latrell series where they just absolutely slaughtered Qld from the centres
Qld Team: Val fullback for games 1&2, Munster and DCE halves all 3… Harry/Macca/Bhunt hooker... ok Qld team, but absolutely destroyed by peak Turbo and Latrell... feel like Val at fullback was never going to be a good call though
2022 QLD 2-1 Cleary all 3 games (1-2 lost decider to the Bhunt charge down try)
NSW Team: This is basically the panthers series To'o, Burton, Critchton, Luai, Cleary, Api, Martin, Yeo, etc.
Qld Team: First year of Billy Slater as coach… Ponga 3 games, Munster 2 + Dearden 1, DCE 3 games, Bhunt and Harry all 3 games... Patty Wally Lewis medal year… probably a peak Qld team in the post dynasty, post CS9 era.
2023 QLD 2-1 Cleary 1st game only (lost)… Qld won first 2 games for dead rubber in Sydney
NSW Team: All sorts of NSW players in this one… Cody for game 3, Api/Robson/Cook at 9, Moses last 2 games
Qld Team: The Reece Walsh series… played games 1&2, Munster, DCE and Bhunt/Harry combo for all 3 games. Patty at lock all 3 games, Tino all 3 games… super solid Qld team
2024 NSW 2-1 Cleary didn't play... This is the Madge series… and the Sua-torpedo in game 1
Qld Team: Reece fullback all 3 games, but every game he was basically coming in off the back of no NRL. Dearden, DCE and Harry/Bhunt combo all 3 games... Billy probably took some lessons in this one... notably that whilst he loves Reece, he wants guys in form coming into origin games, instead of just hoping they'll perform.
2025 QLD 2-1 Cleary all 3 games (1-2 lost decider in Sydney)... Laurie's back baby!!
NSW Team: This looks another panthers series… Edwards, To'o, Crichton, Luai for 2&3, Yeo 13, Martin all 3, etc.
Qld Team: Dearden series winning the last 2 games as the 7 replacing DCE… Munster first series as captain, Ponga games 1&2, Hammer game 3 (Walsh on the pine at 18), Harry all 3 games (no Bhunt)... bit of a changing of the guard, but maybe an early indication that Billy prefers Ponga (Reece missed game 1 with injury (PCL) and returned against titans in Rd 14 with the black jersey on the eve of selection for game 2)
In summary:
Series wins for Cleary
2018… don't remember it, but Qld's team looked a shambles… that was basically the early crow that NSW could go on a dynasty, mostly because the Qld team did not look good
2019… Pearce won the decider… I think I remember this as a bit of a pity play because Qld team was never going to win and just to get Pearce a win in the decider... feel like the Qld team was still pretty shit??
2021… Turbo and Latrell dominance series
That's it... that's all the series wins Cleary has been involved in... 2 against shit Qld teams and the other was basically won by peak Turbo and Latrell