1. Walsh ... Will be Qld fullback
2. Oates ... won't get picked unless it's absolute dire straights / Arthars ... Kiwi
3. Staggs (chance NSW pick him primarily because Latrell has been trash... Turbo plays right side centre for them though and they've got Bradman on the left... even though he's not playing as well as Staggs anyway)
4. Cobbo almost odds on... Hammer injured, Coates injured (unsure how long though)... Val one spot, Gagai not picked last year, so might only be Murray in front of him with a few spots up for grabs pending injury
5. Mariner... no chance (hopefully)... we can't afford to lose a rookie winger to origin, surely Billy doesn't pick him
6. Ezra ... chance for 18th man, but I'd say Dearden is in front for that spot anyway... if Hunt, Munster or DCE miss out then Ezra might get picked with Dearden being promoted
7. Madden ... no chance
8. Jensen... very unlikely unless there are more injuries... Qld forward stocks should be right for the time being
9. Billy... no chance
10. Haas... NSW will pick him and play him into the ground even though he's not fully fit. Would be great if broncos medicos step in, but not sure they can pull him from NSW and then play him in broncos
11. Piakura... a chance pending injuries and make up of the bench... I think he makes an extended squad, but he shouldn't be playing Qld at all this year. Needs to get through a full NRL season before they start talking about it
12. Riki ... Kiwi
13. Patty... Will be Qld 13
14. Smoothy... no chance
15. Kobe... behind Jensen at least
16. Willison... Kiwi??
17... don't even know who fills this spot half the time.
Walsh odds on... Tristan comes in
Haas odds on if fit... sounds like Te Kura is next man up for Haas, but also have Taupau and Hunt as other middles
Patty odds on... Kobe starts, but won't have the ball playing. Probably Hunt or Gos coming in to provide hybrid forward on the bench
Cobbo very very good chance and Staggs a chance... not sure as we're running out of backs and centres were short anyway Hoeter injured and Arthars out for maybe 6 weeks or so (Origin 2)... Pereira and Oates the obvious, Leota and Karapani the next placed, but no clear centre if we lose both of them. Mariner would move into one spot and Arthars the other if fit.
If we lose Ezra as 18th man that would be fucked, but Rogers would come in I'd say... or maybe Billy to halves just to get Mozer into the team... depends how Kevvie wants to play it