Search titles only
By:
Forums
New posts
Search forums
Videos
Random
Playlists
Members
Registered members
Current visitors
New Posts
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Navigation
Install the app
Install
More options
Dark Theme
View sidebar
Contact us
Close Menu
Forums
Rugby League
Brisbane Broncos Talk
Broncos 2020 Squad
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
[QUOTE="Bongo, post: 3100665, member: 8455"] First Try scorer has looked like this over the last couple of years: [B]2019- [/B] Opposition scored first try 15 Occasions Broncos on 10 occasions (Including the semi where we did not trouble the scorers) Of the 10, Oates scored 3, Staggs and Milford 2, and 1 each for Gillett, Coates, Haas. Oates scored the Broncos first try (Not first try of the game) on 3 other occasions, Gillett, Fifita and Staggs 2 times . [B]2018-[/B] Opposition scored first try 11 Occasions Broncos on 14 occasions (Including the semi) Of the 14, Oates scored 6, Isaako and TPJ 2, and 1 each for Roberts, Boyd, Nikorima, Fifita Oates scored the Broncos first try (Not first try of the game) on 3 occasions, Macca 3 Occasions ( All late in games when we were being beaten comprehensively), Roberts 2 times and one each for TPJ Boyd and Sims My Take-Aways 1. Broncos are not the best side in scoring the first try. Last year they were particularly bad. 2. Oates scores the most first tries but tends to score them at the start and end of the seasons and in runs. 3. TPJ when starts is a chance for an early try. Both his tries in 2018 were in the first 4 minutes. In 2019 he struggled to score them from the stands. 4. If Milford's running game improves (and with the addition of Croft) he is worth considering for first tries. Staggs is also a consideration and seems to be getting better and the same argument could be made for Fifita to a lesser extent. My very un-expert advice would be to bet on Oates for first try early in the season. Staggs, Milford and Fifita offer a bit of value, particularly in the middle of the season. Milford can take time to warm up/ get fit. Isaako from fullback also intrigues me a little If TPJ starts he's not a bad longshot bet. If you bet on him when named on the bench he can be even better value if he ends up starting starting. Bennett swaped him in late a few times but Siebold not so much. I got on TPJ in 2018 when he was a late swap for Glenn. My theory was no tries would be scored between Broncos and Cronulla early in the game so he was worth the punt from the bench. In reality, he was swapped into the side and scored early. I was very, very lucky!!! There are very little gambling stats for NRL. NRL stats are pretty ordinary in general. Only the Supercoach stats are any good but they don't translate that well for general gambling.You kinda have to put them together yourself. In any case, first try bets are a lottery at best. When Folau was here you could pretty much bet on him every week and do okay but that was a long time ago. I have got on Boyd Cordner for first try a few times and won. Rep games in particular. However, it sometimes means betting against Queensland, which I don't mind doing but others may be more morally opposed. It does reduce the enjoyment of getting it right. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Log in
Your name or email address
Password
Forgot your password?
Stay logged in
Log in
Don't have an account?
Register now
Active Now
FACTHUNT
Harry Sack
ettybay
Shane Tronc
kiwibronco
sooticus
HarryAllan7
Dash
Broncosgirl
RolledOates
Old Mate
teampjta
Lurker
ivanhungryjak
Forums
Rugby League
Brisbane Broncos Talk
Broncos 2020 Squad
Top
AdBlock Message
Please consider adding BHQ to your Adblock Whitelist. We do our best to make sure it doesn't affect your experience on the website, and the funds help us pay server and software costs.