Manlys biggest issue is they can't seem to close out games. Now, i've not watch a whole lot of 80 minutes of Manly, mostly replays, but the trend is obvious even when watching those.
The only team that concedes more tries from inside their own half than Manly is Parramatta, and you've just seen what Brisbane did to them.
It's a area of the game that we are close to leading the comp in.
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However, I found the differences in these two charts of some interest.
This first one looks at the average margin per minute for Manly this season, compared to prior seasons up to 10 rounds of the 2024 campaign.
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They have one of, if not the best, scorign margins in the comp...for the first 30 minutes of each game so far.
Then it literally falls off a cliff. Why? Is this the time when Siebold makes his first round of forward interchanges? If so, then the guys coming on just aren't up to the standards of those replaced. However, do note how closly grouped each trend line is to the others.
This method of playing is basically Manly's DNA. Now the same chart for Brisbane.
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I mean, look at the historical difference now!
But, looking at 2024s curve, it just keeps going up for the majority of the game. However it's at the 50 minute mark where it turns exponetial.
I'm pretty certain thats one Payne Haas coming on for his 2nd stint.
So for me, i'd not be surprised to see Manly and us trade blows for the first 30 minutes, even for Manly to be leading at that stage.
But, from the 50 minute mark, Brisbane go up another gear and, if these charts are any guide, take over the game.
Anyway, some things i'll be looking for.
Shout out to T
he Rugby League Eye Test.
https://www.rugbyleagueeyetest.com/2024/05/13/why-cant-manly-maintain-a-lead/