Gold Trip is giving away at least 2kg to the rest of the field, in some cases 5+, he's hard to tip on that. I don't think he's that much better than these and the thing that makes this even more difficult is the UK trainers know what the go is, they're bring over their unexposed promising stayers so the handicapper can't step in.
Vauban won a 2800m race at Royal Ascot (during their big carnival) and gets in here with 55 from barrier 3, he looks the hardest of them to beat. He beat a horse called Absurde (by some 7 and a half lengths), that horse is a $14 chance.
I did like a few of our local chances but they've drawn horribly, Vow and Declare has barely run a bad race all prep but he's drawn out. Same deal with Cleveland, Without A Fight. Soulcombe looks the most likely of the locally trained runners, drawn well and he's been threatening, also with the booking of Moreira he will surely get a good ride.