BHQ Gambling Association
- Thread starter MaroubraBroncos
- Start date
- Jun 12, 2013
- 14,110
- 17,433
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
Haha, was looking at the odds and had a feeling it was him. There's a couple of names I like at decent odds tbh. Be back tomorrow.
Haha, was looking at the odds and had a feeling it was him. There's a couple of names I like at decent odds tbh. Be back tomorrow.
Art Vandelay
QCup Player
- Jun 5, 2013
- 924
- 794
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
I was a lucky with my bonus bets with William Hill and Tom Waterhouse in that most of them lost (all were hedged), so I won't have to spend as much time satisfying the bonus bet turnover requirements.
I was arbitrage betting a couple of months ago to clear my unibet and betfair bonuses. College basketball and state elections were the best for that I found, but the discrepancies for the former aren't as much now that March madness is in effect. Beyond clearing deposit bonuses, I don't think I'd be comfortable arbitrage betting on the scale required to make that kind of coin though because I'd be worried about a lapse in concentration when placing a bet costing me thousands.
I was a lucky with my bonus bets with William Hill and Tom Waterhouse in that most of them lost (all were hedged), so I won't have to spend as much time satisfying the bonus bet turnover requirements.
- Mar 13, 2008
- 6,522
- 2,807
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
What do you do for presidential betting? Did you use Nate Silver predictions?
I find US presidential betting fascinating! There's got to be value in the republican candidate somewhere as surely they won't choose Bush!
What do you do for presidential betting? Did you use Nate Silver predictions?
I find US presidential betting fascinating! There's got to be value in the republican candidate somewhere as surely they won't choose Bush!
OXY-351
NRL Player
- Oct 1, 2008
- 2,179
- 899
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
I haven't been betting huge amounts per arb though. Usually around the $500 mark (although I guess "huge" is subjective). The profit just comes back to the % of the arb really. I don't even bother on anything less than 1%. Some can be quite high. I got on an NBA arb a few weeks back that was 13%. That's a $65 profit on a $500 risk free* bet. Profits can add up pretty quick if some good % arbs are found.
The other thing I have made a fair bit of money on is sides and middles. These come about with line bets where different bookies have a different idea of what the line will be. In some cases there can exist a scenario where you can win both bets (middle) or win one and have one refunded (side) for a very small outlay. As an example, on last weeks titans-knights game, one bookie I'm with was offering $1.90 for the knights to win with a -1.5 handicap. Another bookie was offering the titans to win with a +2 handicap at $2.10. That means you can get on both sides of the bet with a .25% loss. Could put $100 on the $1.90 bet, $90.47 on the $2.10 bet and at worst you'll return $190 either way, so a loss of 47c based on the $190.47 outlay. However, if the knights win by exactly 2 points, you still return $190, but the $2.10 bet gets refunded, so have only outlayed $100, so a $90 profit. So essentially you are risking 47c to make a profit of $90. That's odds of 190-1. Compare that to the odds of putting a bet on the knights to win by exactly 2 points.
* There are risks. I've lost a few bets due to my own mistakes, having bets cancelled etc. Just gotta be careful and pay attention, especially around the rules of different sports on different bookies (eg, what happens in the case of a draw, retirement of a player etc)
I haven't been betting huge amounts per arb though. Usually around the $500 mark (although I guess "huge" is subjective). The profit just comes back to the % of the arb really. I don't even bother on anything less than 1%. Some can be quite high. I got on an NBA arb a few weeks back that was 13%. That's a $65 profit on a $500 risk free* bet. Profits can add up pretty quick if some good % arbs are found.
The other thing I have made a fair bit of money on is sides and middles. These come about with line bets where different bookies have a different idea of what the line will be. In some cases there can exist a scenario where you can win both bets (middle) or win one and have one refunded (side) for a very small outlay. As an example, on last weeks titans-knights game, one bookie I'm with was offering $1.90 for the knights to win with a -1.5 handicap. Another bookie was offering the titans to win with a +2 handicap at $2.10. That means you can get on both sides of the bet with a .25% loss. Could put $100 on the $1.90 bet, $90.47 on the $2.10 bet and at worst you'll return $190 either way, so a loss of 47c based on the $190.47 outlay. However, if the knights win by exactly 2 points, you still return $190, but the $2.10 bet gets refunded, so have only outlayed $100, so a $90 profit. So essentially you are risking 47c to make a profit of $90. That's odds of 190-1. Compare that to the odds of putting a bet on the knights to win by exactly 2 points.
* There are risks. I've lost a few bets due to my own mistakes, having bets cancelled etc. Just gotta be careful and pay attention, especially around the rules of different sports on different bookies (eg, what happens in the case of a draw, retirement of a player etc)
- Mar 13, 2008
- 6,522
- 2,807
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
Texas Valero
Freddie Jacobsen 110
Geoff Ogilvy 170
Scott Stallings 200
Lucas Glover 500
For the Trophee Hassan II, I've taken Matteo Mannasero for top continental European @ 67.
Texas Valero
Freddie Jacobsen 110
Geoff Ogilvy 170
Scott Stallings 200
Lucas Glover 500
For the Trophee Hassan II, I've taken Matteo Mannasero for top continental European @ 67.
- Jun 12, 2013
- 14,110
- 17,433
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
CB aren't offering that last one unfortunately.
Texas:
Ogilvy
Stallings
Andres Gonzales (Long shot)
....for now.
CB aren't offering that last one unfortunately.
Texas:
Ogilvy
Stallings
Andres Gonzales (Long shot)
....for now.
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
Couple of multis for this weekend:
souths 13+
dogs 13+
manly 1-12
titans 1-12
broncos 1-12
220:1
fixed at rosehill tomorrow
rudy
catkins
rain affair
first seal
dear demi
1730:1
couple of long shot multis but stranger things have happened, fingers crossed hey.
dont mind hf/ft double for warriors/broncos either. If we can hang with them till half time, (I think they'll just be in front) then come home strong early second half. Warriors tend to drop off in second half and the broncs, well not the best finishers but I think we can do it as they are getting better at closing out games. Just need that good start to second half.
Good luck.
Couple of multis for this weekend:
souths 13+
dogs 13+
manly 1-12
titans 1-12
broncos 1-12
220:1
fixed at rosehill tomorrow
rudy
catkins
rain affair
first seal
dear demi
1730:1
couple of long shot multis but stranger things have happened, fingers crossed hey.
dont mind hf/ft double for warriors/broncos either. If we can hang with them till half time, (I think they'll just be in front) then come home strong early second half. Warriors tend to drop off in second half and the broncs, well not the best finishers but I think we can do it as they are getting better at closing out games. Just need that good start to second half.
Good luck.
- Jun 12, 2013
- 14,110
- 17,433
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
Good luck mate. I'll throw up a few racing tips tomorrow when I have a look at the form. Catkins and First Seal always worth a shout.
Good luck mate. I'll throw up a few racing tips tomorrow when I have a look at the form. Catkins and First Seal always worth a shout.
- Mar 5, 2008
- 30,078
- 19,058
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
@Art Vandelay tell me which exotics to bet on, dammit!
@Art Vandelay tell me which exotics to bet on, dammit!
- Mar 5, 2008
- 30,078
- 19,058
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
Coalition to get up in the seat of Newcastle tomorrow looks good value.
Probably unlikely, but the odds should be much shorter IMO.
At the by-election in October (after all the Liberals were found to be corrupt), the ALP canidate Tim Crakanthorp got 36.92% of the vote to Karen Howard's 26.13% (she ran as an Independent).
Howard is running for the Liberals this time around, which could hinder her due to the whole ICAC scandal ruining the Libs reputation, but I think it'll help her. Just a vibe I'm getting from being a local and seeing how people are reacting to the major issues in the area.
I'm going to throw a couple of bucks on.
For the record, I'm not in the seat of Newcastle, so I have no influence on the result haha. I won't be voting Liberal though. :)
Coalition to get up in the seat of Newcastle tomorrow looks good value.
Probably unlikely, but the odds should be much shorter IMO.
At the by-election in October (after all the Liberals were found to be corrupt), the ALP canidate Tim Crakanthorp got 36.92% of the vote to Karen Howard's 26.13% (she ran as an Independent).
Howard is running for the Liberals this time around, which could hinder her due to the whole ICAC scandal ruining the Libs reputation, but I think it'll help her. Just a vibe I'm getting from being a local and seeing how people are reacting to the major issues in the area.
I'm going to throw a couple of bucks on.
For the record, I'm not in the seat of Newcastle, so I have no influence on the result haha. I won't be voting Liberal though. :)
- Jun 20, 2013
- 4,385
- 2,551
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
It's probably evil of me, but when I found out some bloke put 8k on souths to win tonight I laughed my ass off.
It's probably evil of me, but when I found out some bloke put 8k on souths to win tonight I laughed my ass off.
- Jun 12, 2013
- 14,110
- 17,433
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
Sorry lads, got stuck moving a friend all fucking day. Everything lost for me but Fenway.
Sorry lads, got stuck moving a friend all fucking day. Everything lost for me but Fenway.
Bull Shark
State of Origin Rep
- Jun 4, 2008
- 6,216
- 5,655
Re: BHQ Gambling Association - DO NOT LINK TO BETTING WEBSITES
One for ANZ netball Sunday,
Fever vs Thunderbirds o104.5
One for ANZ netball Sunday,
Fever vs Thunderbirds o104.5
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