I think our '23 team smashes this Raiders team BUT we aren't the '23 Broncos and there are no '23 Panthers in the way either. Both those teams from the '23 GF probably go through this season undefeated, such is the drop off in quality in the last two years overall in the comp.
Therefore, given the fact this Raiders side is the closest thing to the '23 version of us, I wouldn't be surprised to see them win it all. Yes their spine is inexperienced but their forwards and backline isn't, at least not completely. Fogarty also isn't a Spring chicken, he's a mature footy player.
That all said, Fogarty is their key, we shut him down, we win, simple as that. They may still score a freakish try from somewhere through Weakes or Strange but you can handle that. Fogarty has the ability to keep kicking them out of trouble and that is gold in modern league.