I'm confident we can win this, but I'm not 100% confident. More like 60%.
Manly are desperate. Not often would you see a team go from Semi Finalists to potential wooden spooners in a year. They need a win a lot more than we do. Add the fact that they have a good record against us in the past 10 years and DCE returning from injury, this becomes a real danger game for us.
In the past 10 years, we have won 4 out of 9 games. We should have won more, but bad defense and poor goal kicking cost us.
In 2009, we were up 16-0. We lost 22-20 despite a great effort from Winterstein to score in the final minutes of the game and give Parker a chance to take the game into Golden Point.
In 2012, we were up by 2 in the final 10 minutes. Manly go the length of the field in 2 tackles to score the winning try in the final minute of the game.
In 2013, we were up 14-6. Manly came out in the second half and blew us away.
I have no doubt Manly will start this game strong. I'm predicting they will take the early lead. But I'm confident the Broncos can bounce back from it and take the lead. It's the closing stages I am worried about, though. I think it will be a close game and it will go down to the wire.
Broncos have been performing strongly this year, a lot better than I think most people expected. Their biggest improvement has been their defense, and the self belief. It has won us games we would have lost in the past few years. I think it can win us this game.
Broncos by 4.