Looking at the season stats for both teams (just for fun) we are almost even on all counts except 2.
We have missed 30 odd tackles (2 per match roughly) more than them but, we have made 110 more tackle breaks. The fact the points differential is roughly the same, that tells me a lot about our failure to support the ball runner and capitalize.
It's now time to convert those tackle breaks into points. Unless our defensive structures fragment as they have a habit of doing when we slack off as we do for large chunks of the game, I can't see why we can't win this.