Don't get me wrong, I've been an Oates fanatic since his debut, and was pushing his ability and usefulness to the team even when he was struggling in Q-Cup.
I just get a feeling that someone of his size is going to burn out faster and earlier than the nippier wingers. He used to be pretty fast once he wound up, he's already lost a bit of that speed. Once upon a time Oates would get the ball on the wing, and it was a 50/50 bet whether he'd get to the line with speed, or by running over the top of 3 guys.... but he'd always get it over the line. Nowadays when he gets the ball it just doesn't seem like he has the space. He'll most likely have to come back infield or die with the ball instead of getting pushed over the sideline. His record try-scoring feats last year sound contradictory to this, but if he hadn't let himself fall in to a hole, I think we would have seen those feats for the last 5 years consistently. Also, it is often reported that through his career he's been easily gassed, not surprising for someone of his size, but out on the wing it's not like he's making 40 tackles - I can't see that going anywhere but south as he gets older. Hopefully he'll prove me wrong, and steams along for another 5 or so years. But even if he doesn't he'll go down as one of my favourite ever Broncos.