CROSS FORUM NRL 2023 Round 5 Discussion

People rate Gilbert - all I see is a hot-headed penalty magnet
 
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[/st_td_row][st_td]Worried2Death - nzwarriors.com[/st_td][/st_tr][st_tr][st_td="0.7"]JOINED: .March 5, 2016
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Poor Milf, that's shitty luck. Halves depth was always going to be the phins achilles heel tho.

Imagine how good the drags could be if de Bellin wasn't the only one who wants to be there.


 
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[/st_td_row][st_td]KPWarrior - nzwarriors.com[/st_td][/st_tr][st_tr][st_td="0.7"]JOINED: .May 19, 2012
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J. Bromwich 300th


 
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[/st_td_row][st_td]Mr Dragon - nzwarriors.com[/st_td][/st_tr][st_tr][st_td="0.7"]JOINED: .July 25, 2015
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Poor Milf, that's shitty luck. Halves depth was always going to be the phins achilles heel tho.

Imagine how good the drags could be if de Bellin wasn't the only one who wants to be there.
True, no one wants to be a drag! 😩


 
Bloody hell my tipping has been absolutely horrendous this week
 
Dolphins taking the two whilst being 6 points behind... very odd🤔🤔
 
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[/st_td_row][st_td]PullinTeeth - nzwarriors.com[/st_td][/st_tr][st_tr][st_td="0.7"]JOINED: .August 11, 2017
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Has Pat Carrigan got an unintentional shit hair cut.


 
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[/st_td_row][st_td]PullinTeeth - nzwarriors.com[/st_td][/st_tr][st_tr][st_td="0.7"]JOINED: .August 11, 2017
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Has Pat Carrigan got an unintentional shit hair cut.



It has to be a bet surely
 
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[/st_td_row][st_td]ryno - nzwarriors.com[/st_td][/st_tr][st_tr][st_td="0.7"]JOINED: .May 8, 2012
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What’s up with the Telstra add? Just caught the last half of it


 
Vintage Dolphins performance so far, hanging in there, getting what they can..

Dragons are a very poor disciplined side, I reckon Dolphins will get them late
 
Vintage Dolphins performance so far, hanging in there, getting what they can..

Dragons are a very poor disciplined side, I reckon Dolphins will get them late
I hope so, I tipped them
 
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[/st_td_row][st_td]Worried2Death - nzwarriors.com[/st_td][/st_tr][st_tr][st_td="0.7"]JOINED: .March 5, 2016
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True, no one wants to be a drag! 😩
Says the guy in the Candy Darling outfit


 
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[/st_td_row][st_td]Coops - nzwarriors.com[/st_td][/st_tr][st_tr][st_td="0.7"]JOINED: .April 15, 2013
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Just look at recent history, say from 2018 since the Kearney era -

2018: pf 201/ pa 214 difference -13
2019: 159/ 197 -38
2020: 107/ 119 -12
2021: 91/ 105 -14
2022: 155/ 137 +18
2023: 17/ 23 -6

Total pen for: 730
Pen against: 795
And where statistically where it should all average out where sitting at -65 in just over 5 years
Or we get 8.2% less than expected.

P.S. one year when I checked, the 2 games against the top 2 teams where we lost by an about 50 points each time we happened to win those penalty counts by about 12-2 each. That’s how you even up penalty counts across a season by using irrelevant games to even up stats while you get screwed in the games against close teams that actually determine your ladder position.

Also, the way to manipulate games are with non penalty 50/50 decisions which there are about 10 per game - errors (dropped balls, knock ons, forward passes) bunker calls (50/50 try groundings, held up judgement calls, over the line or short), 6 agains (offside, holding down time), etc. These are in addition to penalties. Give all the 50/50 calls almost all one way and you completely change the game while it’s impossible to claim a bias because by there nature they are defendable simply as 50/50 calls with human judgement.
I would like to see where the penalties against us are occurring eg, late in sets - Compared to other teams


 

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