Broncos' mid-season review

Super Freak

Super Freak

International Captain
Forum Staff
Jan 25, 2014
44,119
33,258
A fourth win in succession on Monday night in Canberra, giving them their best progressive away record since 2006, has Anthony Griffin's men well within reach of a top-four finish.

Ladder position: 6th.

Overview: The Broncos have endured mixed results heading beyond the halfway point of 2014. Seemingly written off before the season started due to two heavy trial losses against the Cowboys and Warriors, a runner-up finish at the Auckland Nines provided one positive for the Broncos to take into their Round 1 opener against the Bulldogs.

After three wins from their opening four games, including an impressive 36-20 away win over the Dragons in Wollongong, the Broncos slipped up against the Eels in Round 5. Despite another eye-catching win on the road against the Knights in Round 7, Brisbane worryingly dropped four out of five matches between Rounds 5 to 9.

With arguably their worst performance of the year to date coming against the Cowboys in their 27-14 Round 9 loss in Townsville, the Broncos bounced back to record four straight victories in conjunction with the beginning of the Origin period – a time of the season where they notoriously struggle.

Over the next four weeks the Broncos will receive two byes and play the Warriors (away) and the Sharks at home – two teams who are currently outside the top eight. If they can continue their new-found momentum and avoid injury to key personnel over the remainder of the Origin period, a top-four finish is certainly within their grasp.

Positives: There's no doubt that the progression of halfback Ben Hunt has been the Broncos' No.1 highlight so far. In addition to Hunt's remarkable rise, the real reason why Brisbane has exceeded expectations is the strength of their unbreakable spine that consists of Hunt, Ben Barba, Josh Hoffman and Andrew McCullough.

This quartet has played together in every game for the Broncos this year except for when Hoffman missed the 28-26 Round 8 loss to the Rabbitohs due to injury. Because they are not affected by Origin commitments (although this could change depending on the Maroons' deepening injury crisis), the Broncos' playmaking fluidity has remained untouched, allowing the contrasting styles of all four members of the spine to continually develop their unique on-field characteristics.

So far in 2014, the Broncos spine has contributed 12 out of the 48 tries Brisbane has scored (25 per cent), while all four have also combined for a total of 19 try assists. Hunt's personal contribution is 48 points (seven tries, 10 goals) and if you consider his nine try assists, the Broncos' chief playmaker has had a hand in 84 of Brisbane's 268 points this season, 31 per cent of their total points scored over 12 Rounds.

Negatives: There are three main negatives. The first has been their inability to perform for the full 80 minutes; this weakness had significant bearing in the close losses against the Roosters, Titans and Rabbitohs – where they lost all three games by four points or less.

The second negative has been the indifferent form of big-money recruit Martin Kennedy, with the former Roosters prop struggling since his arrival at Red Hill. He has been sent back to the Ipswich Jets in recent weeks in order to find some form as he battles for a bench spot with the less fashionable names of Jarrod Wallace, Todd Lowrie and Corey Oates.

The third is another player that has yet to live up to expectation – Ben Barba. The 2012 Dally M Medal winner has been a shadow of his former self after moving to Brisbane. After 12 matches this season, Barba has made just two line breaks and scored two tries - with one each achieved in the win over Canberra. Also the normally secure hands of Barba have made 20 errors, including a game-changing blunder against the Titans in Round 6. If there are some positives to take out of a series of negatives for Barba, it's the 14 try saves he has made this season and the fact that he actually hasn't hit his peak form in the Broncos jersey yet.

Biggest Moment: It took them almost three months, but the Broncos were finally able to produce a full 80-minute performance against bogy side Manly in Round 12 when they clipped the Sea Eagles' wings with a commanding 36-10 victory underneath the sunshine at Suncorp Stadium.

NRL.com Prediction: A month of footy between Round 20 and 23 will determine whether the Broncos enter the finals flying high or fighting for the hotly contested bottom half of the top eight. Brisbane host the Storm in Round 20, travel to Brookvale to face the Sea Eagles in Round 21, return home to play the Bulldogs and then head back to Sydney to play the Rabbitohs in the Thursday night opener to Round 23. How they fare against those four powerhouses will determine their fate. Having consulted the ladder predictor we'll take a punt and suggest they'll finish 5th or 6th.

http://www.nrl.com/broncos-mid-season-review-/tabid/10874/newsid/79257/default.aspx
 
Assuming:

1. No major injuries to key players;

2. Hunt and Barba continue their steady progress in form;

3. Hoffman plays no less well than he did v Raiders when he was not bad at all (though never will he be a 5/8);

4. We use the ball - forwards passing and an expansive game plan - the new Griffinball;

5. The defence continues at least as well as it is and actually our line speed improves (it was ordinary v Raiders for too much of the game);

6. Copley and Hannant improve their ball security.


... I predict we will finish 3 - 6


But then that's quite a few assumptions yet so far, the pudding is starting to taste pretty good, and, those assumptions apply to most teams, so my best prediction is we finish 3rd or 4th

To quote another fellow poster: there! I've said it!
 
We have a tough run the second half of the season. Even the Warriors are struck after origin and then again on a Friday backing up from Monday night
 
We have a tough run the second half of the season. Even the Warriors are struck after origin and then again on a Friday backing up from Monday night

When the going gets tough, the tough get going, otherwise, the coach gets to go ... somewhere else.
 
Last edited:
Our entire run home of 18-26 will be a good test about how good we actually are: Penrith (A), Warriors (H), Storm (H), Manly (A), Dogs (H), Souths (A), Newcastle (H), St Merge (H), Storm (A). Say we lock in the Knights and St George games as wins, if we can win more than 50% of those other 7 games, we'll be doing pretty well I think
 
I would love 5th or 6th :)
 
MidSeasonStats_1.jpg


Some interesting stats there..

I think the most telling one is 14th in Tackle Breaks, that's horrible. Just shows how much better we'd be if we had a prop or two that could puncture the line, virtually what we thought Kennedy would do.
 
Props are nowhere near the big tackle breakers in teams. It's more the backs and fringe backrowers that post those higher stats.

We're still in the middle of the pack when it comes to missed tackles, but have improved this a lot.
Griffin ball is clearly to see in the number of offloads we do, despite having the likes of Corey Parker and Gillett in the team.

Hopefully we'll improve line breaks and of course tackle breaks (come on Barba), but pretty happy with those stats to be honest.
 
Props are nowhere near the big tackle breakers in teams. It's more the backs and fringe backrowers that post those higher stats.

We're still in the middle of the pack when it comes to missed tackles, but have improved this a lot.
Griffin ball is clearly to see in the number of offloads we do, despite having the likes of Corey Parker and Gillett in the team.

Hopefully we'll improve line breaks and of course tackle breaks (come on Barba), but pretty happy with those stats to be honest.


Don't know I agree about props, P. We really need a dominant prop. There's a few key props out their who break the line and offload, or score good tries carrying defenders.

Against Manly, I thought we offloaded really well. Even Vidot. 14 or so offloads altogether I think, so I am optimistic that this, along with the much improved ball movement and support play, might be the start of a new Griffinball. Yes, seriously.
 
Sorry mate, statistically, the props have minor relevance to tackle breaks. This goes for all NRL teams, including the Cows, Chooks and Souffs!
 
Sorry mate, statistically, the props have minor relevance to tackle breaks. This goes for all NRL teams, including the Cows, Chooks and Souffs!

Stuff the stats. I just like to watch George Burgess, Matt Scott and a few others dominate the middle with tackle breaks and tries. We lack a dominant prop remotely like any of them.

A diminant prop is as important as Milford, unless we continue to use our edges and wider with lots of ball movement their way, and our props hold the middle
 
Well, we were discussing stats... sorry! :thefinger:

Of course a dominant prop makes it easy and is a massive advantage to any team, I'm not disputing that!
But like I said, they may bend the line and throw an offload here and there, but they don't break many tackles.
 
Right or wrong, I rate Mat Scott as the best prop in the game.

Want to guess how many tackles he broke last year?

27.

Which I believe supports Porthoz' theory. While tackle breaks are important, it's not really that important for a front row. It's really all about their ability to control the middle and not a lot of stats can prove that. For instance, getting a good play the ball away can be gold at times yet that doesn't appear on NRLStats.com

Ultimately I do agree with you rna, I think we definitely need a better prop and while I believe we have a couple coming through who can be really good additions to our pack, they're going to take sometime before they can do the job so I'm hoping that we can bring somebody in or better yet, Kennedy rediscovers the promise he showed in 2011 and quickly.
 
I guess Vidot wouldn't be very high in tackle busts either, he'd be leading the league in metres carrying 2 or more players though. :laugh:
 
I guess Vidot wouldn't be very high in tackle busts either, he'd be leading the league in metres carrying 2 or more players though. :laugh:

I saw the stat the other day that his thighs literally have their own gravitational pull.
 
I saw the stat the other day that his thighs literally have their own gravitational pull.

Haha I can believe that.

Still makes me laugh at all the st merge supporters when we signed him. What they wouldn't give for a guy with a bit of heart that is happy to do the hard yards not just the flashy stuff.
 

Active Now

  • Mr Fourex
  • Battler
  • bb_gun
  • ivanhungryjak
  • broncsgoat
  • Brett Da Man LeMan
  • Sproj
  • TwoLeftFeet
  • Lostboy
  • leish107
  • Johnny92
  • Browny
  • Wolfie
  • levikaden
... and 1 more.
Top
  AdBlock Message
Please consider adding BHQ to your Adblock Whitelist. We do our best to make sure it doesn't affect your experience on the website, and the funds help us pay server and software costs.