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Harry Sack

Harry Sack

International Rep
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Jun 12, 2013
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No Le Tour suggestions [MENTION=1917]Ari Gold[/MENTION]? Or are you a little gun shy after last year?
 
ningnangnong

ningnangnong

HACK THE PLANET!!!
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Mar 5, 2008
29,447
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No Le Tour suggestions @Ari Gold ? Or are you a little gun shy after last year?

It's too early mate - stages are flat or flattish at the moment, and all the sprinters teams usually claw back the breakaway.

At least, I think that's why Ari hasn't thrown up any recommendations.
 
Ari Gold

Ari Gold

Master Baiter
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Mar 13, 2008
6,522
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No Le Tour suggestions [MENTION=1917]Ari Gold[/MENTION]? Or are you a little gun shy after last year?

Most of the prices go in after I take them and become no value so generally don't bother. Plus I generally am never on here and have a million people already texting me for tips that I don't normally have time.
 
Ari Gold

Ari Gold

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Mar 13, 2008
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FWIW I'm on Meintjes Young Rider Classification at 5.50-6. That price still there but it's obviously not a big one.

Also on Majka King of the Mountains. He's now 6.50 which is about right, I'm on at 21s.

Ning is partially right too, sprint stages are no good for big odds winners as the favourites almost always win. Tomorrow is a stage more suited to bigger priced winners.
 
Ari Gold

Ari Gold

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Mar 13, 2008
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Tonight's stage is one for the breakaway I feel (prices in brackets are what I'd need to back):

Tony Gallopin (23)
Luis Leon Sanchez (34)
Thomas Voeckler (34)
Tom Jelte Slagter (151)
Tony Martin!!! (101)
Ion Izagirre (101).

I can see Rui Costa and Stephen Cummings going for it as well but I feel both are too short in the betting.
 
Harry Sack

Harry Sack

International Rep
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Jun 12, 2013
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Tonight's stage is one for the breakaway I feel (prices in brackets are what I'd need to back):

Tony Gallopin (23)
Luis Leon Sanchez (34)
Thomas Voeckler (34)
Tom Jelte Slagter (151)
Tony Martin!!! (101)
Ion Izagirre (101).

I can see Rui Costa and Stephen Cummings going for it as well but I feel both are too short in the betting.

Have I told you lately that you're the man? Got him at 23's
 
Ari Gold

Ari Gold

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Mar 13, 2008
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I feel Froome is the most likely winner today and you should have something on to either chop or get a small profit. Richie Porte strikes me as being value -- he should be at worst the 3rd best climber in the race and it's possible he could attack whilst Froome and Quintana watch each other. He's further back on GC so also possible if he gets away with one they ride together and Porte is allowed to take the win.

Break is not likely to succeed but it has about a 20% possibility IMO. Given there are much fewer riders who could win on today's profile I feel there's some riders still worth taking, namely Diego Rosa and Ruben Plaza. Both should be available at 80+
 
Harry Sack

Harry Sack

International Rep
Forum Staff
Jun 12, 2013
13,418
16,278
I feel Froome is the most likely winner today and you should have something on to either chop or get a small profit. Richie Porte strikes me as being value -- he should be at worst the 3rd best climber in the race and it's possible he could attack whilst Froome and Quintana watch each other. He's further back on GC so also possible if he gets away with one they ride together and Porte is allowed to take the win.

Break is not likely to succeed but it has about a 20% possibility IMO. Given there are much fewer riders who could win on today's profile I feel there's some riders still worth taking, namely Diego Rosa and Ruben Plaza. Both should be available at 80+

Saw them too late unfortunately but good luck!!!
 
Ari Gold

Ari Gold

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Mar 13, 2008
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Tonight is hard to call, but I'm on the following:

Laporte (151), Debuscherre (151), Richeze (81), Kristoff (19) - Take e/w is possible, reduced sprint candidates
Gallopin, Navardauskas (late attack candidates)
 
Bucking Beads

Bucking Beads

International Captain
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Mar 5, 2008
22,185
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Should I cash out my bet on the Melbourne Storm to win the Premiership to double my money or should I just let the bet run its course?
 
Harry Sack

Harry Sack

International Rep
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Jun 12, 2013
13,418
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Should I cash out my bet on the Melbourne Storm to win the Premiership to double my money or should I just let the bet run its course?

Really depends on the odds for mine, I don't remember them being stupid odds this season. I'd be inclined to let it ride personally.

Ok, now I'm curious. What did you get on them at?
 
Last edited:
Bucking Beads

Bucking Beads

International Captain
Contributor
Mar 5, 2008
22,185
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Really depends on the odds for mine, I don't remember them being stupid odds this season. I'd be inclined to let it ride personally.

Ok, now I'm curious. What did you get on them at?
$13 now they are into $4
 
Ari Gold

Ari Gold

Master Baiter
Contributor
Mar 13, 2008
6,522
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I think the break has a better than expected chance tonight.

Majka, Zakarin, Anacona, Kelderman for me.
 

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